Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:36 PM EST

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Mack Hollins has run a route on 88.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
Mack Hollins has posted a colossal 63.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.
Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 64.2% to 54.8%.
Mack Hollins has been among the bottom WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.77 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 19th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.8%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.8%).

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