Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Mack Hollins has run a route on 92.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
Mack Hollins has been responsible for a colossal 21.7% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 76th percentile among WRs.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, yielding 9.28 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.

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