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Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.Mack Hollins has run a route on 93.4% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.Mack Hollins has notched a whopping 64.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among wideouts.The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Falcons are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Atlanta Falcons have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.1 plays per game.Mack Hollins has been among the weakest wide receivers in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.51 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 17th percentile.
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