Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+101/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
Mack Hollins has run fewer routes this season (94.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (31.1%).
Mack Hollins has accumulated many more air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Mack Hollins has accrued quite a few more receiving yards per game (53.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
Mack Hollins has been among the worst WRs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.73 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 19th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wideouts this year (64.0%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has shown strong efficiency versus wideouts this year, conceding 8.21 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the league.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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