Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Mack Hollins has gone out for fewer passes this season (94.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (31.1%).
Mack Hollins has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (81.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
Mack Hollins has accumulated quite a few more receiving yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.
Mack Hollins has been among the bottom WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.
The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (59.4%) to WRs this year (59.4%).
The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated play action on a mere 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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