Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 45.8 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: most in football.
Mack Hollins has been used less as a potential target this season (94.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (31.1%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mack Hollins has been among the weakest wideouts in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 18th percentile.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against WRs this year, surrendering 7.49 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 9th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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