Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+109/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mack Hollins has run fewer routes this season (94.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (30.9%).
Mack Hollins has posted many more air yards this year (72.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Mack Hollins has accrued substantially more receiving yards per game (45.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 50.1% to 63.2%.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Mack Hollins has been among the weakest wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 15th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.6%) versus wideouts this year (61.6%).

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