Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 9, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+115/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Mack Hollins has been used less as a potential target this year (95.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (30.9%).
Mack Hollins has accrued many more air yards this season (65.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Mack Hollins has compiled quite a few more receiving yards per game (46.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mack Hollins has been among the worst wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 19th percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

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