Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Mack Hollins has been used less as a potential target this season (94.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (30.9%).
Mack Hollins has posted many more air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Mack Hollins has put up significantly more receiving yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
Mack Hollins has been among the bottom WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 21st percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 144.0) versus WRs this year.

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