Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
Mack Hollins has gone out for fewer passes this season (93.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (31.1%).
Mack Hollins has compiled significantly more air yards this season (72.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-worst paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.94 seconds per snap.
Mack Hollins has been among the worst wide receivers in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.63 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 19th percentile.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the least receiving yards per game in football (just 118.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.6%) vs. wideouts this year (61.6%).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has shown good efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 6.26 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the NFL.

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