Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Mack Hollins has been less involved as a potential target this year (92.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (31.1%).
Mack Hollins has accumulated far more air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
Mack Hollins has notched quite a few more receiving yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Mack Hollins has been among the weakest wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 15th percentile.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) versus WRs this year.

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