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Mack Hollins
NFL · Player Props
Mack Hollins
WR · Las Vegas Raiders
Receiving TD
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Mack Hollins Receiving TD

Mack Hollins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+292/-512).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -454 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -512.

Favors Over
  • Mack Hollins has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 16.0% this year, which places him in the 75th percentile among WRs.
  • Mack Hollins has accumulated many more air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
  • Mack Hollins's 39.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 14.6.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 50.1% to 70.6%.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wideouts this year (64.0%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a measly 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have elected to go for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
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