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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders

Mack Hollins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-463).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +317 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +270.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Mack Hollins to be much more involved in his team's pass attack near the end zone this week (15.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (9.7% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans defense has allowed the 3rd-most passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 1.26 per game since the start of last season.

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line has given their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

The Tennessee Titans defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Las Vegas Raiders have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box versus opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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