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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Las Vegas Raiders

Mack Hollins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-350).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Mack Hollins to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (20.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

Mack Hollins has accrued many more air yards this season (65.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).

Mack Hollins's 44.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 14.6.

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season.

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a lowly 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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