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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Mack Hollins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-406).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -353 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -406.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Mack Hollins has posted many more air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).

Mack Hollins's 43.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 14.6.

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Mack Hollins's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 50.1% to 66.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated play action on a measly 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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