Mack Hollins Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-400).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Mack Hollins has accumulated far more air yards this year (62.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).
Mack Hollins's 37.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 14.6.
Mack Hollins's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 50.1% to 68.7%.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in football (68%) versus wideouts this year (68.0%).

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in the league to wide receivers: 0.44 per game this year.
The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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