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Mac Jones

Mac Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

Mac Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -235.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 25.64 seconds per snap.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Jacksonville Jaguars grades out as the 9th-best in football this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-highest clip in the league vs. the Titans defense this year (72.4% Adjusted Completion%).

The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

In averaging a meager 27.3 pass attempts per game this year, Mac Jones ranks among the bottom quarterbacks in football (22nd percentile) by this metric.

Opposing teams have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: fewest in football.

With an awful ratio of only 0.62 per game (11th percentile), Mac Jones has been among the bottom TD throwers in football this year.

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