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Mac Jones

Mac Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Mac Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+182/-245).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.

Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The projections expect Mac Jones to attempt 36.5 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all QBs.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

With an awful rate of only 0.57 per game (11th percentile), Mac Jones has been among the bottom TD throwers in the NFL this year.

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