My Account Log Out

reorder

Mac Jones

Mac Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Mac Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Mac Jones has been among the best precision passers in the NFL this year with a terrific 68.7% Completion%, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest clip in the league vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year (74.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Patriots have been the least pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 52.5% red zone pass rate.

The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

Mac Jones has been among the worst TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrible 0.78 per game while checking in at the 19th percentile.

More Mac Jones Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™