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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Jaguars offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 25.64 seconds per snap.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (131 per game) versus the Titans defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be rolling out backup quarterback Mac Jones in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Mac Jones has picked up a mere 6.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest figures in football among QBs (19th percentile).

Mac Jones's ground effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging just 2.98 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 3.94 rate last year.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's group of DTs has been great this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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