The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.With an atrocious total of 3.3 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (23rd percentile), Mac Jones ranks among the bottom running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Miami's group of safeties has been excellent this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.
|