Mac Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
With an atrocious total of 3.3 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (23rd percentile), Mac Jones ranks among the bottom running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Miami's group of safeties has been excellent this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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