Mac Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 42.2% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Patriots.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
This year, the strong Las Vegas Raiders run defense has given up a feeble 4.85 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 27th-lowest rate in the league.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Our trusted projections expect Mac Jones to accumulate 2.3 carries in this game, on average: the 5th-fewest out of all QBs.
With a lousy total of 3.4 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (21st percentile), Mac Jones stands among the weakest running QBs in football this year.
Mac Jones has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging just 0.60 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 15th percentile.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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