The Patriots are a giant 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 7th-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 37.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.The model projects Mac Jones to earn 2.7 rush attempts this week, on average: the 8th-fewest of all QBs.Mac Jones has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.82 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
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