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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots rank as the 7th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.4% run rate.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to earn 2.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Mac Jones's running efficiency (3.87 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (13th percentile among quarterbacks).

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