Mac Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Patriots rank as the 7th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.4% run rate.
The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to earn 2.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
Mac Jones's running efficiency (3.87 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (13th percentile among quarterbacks).

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