The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.Mac Jones has averaged 3.4 carries per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the NFL among QBs (76th percentile).
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