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Mac Jones
NFL · Player Props
Mac Jones
QB · New England Patriots
Rushing Yards
New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 6:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Mac Jones Rushing Yards

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -104.

Favors Over
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Mac Jones has averaged 3.4 carries per game this year, one of the biggest rates in the NFL among QBs (76th percentile).
Favors Under
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has had the 8th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
  • The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.
  • The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
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