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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The New England Patriots have incorporated some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The New York Jets defense has produced the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.01 yards-per-carry.
  • The New York Jets linebackers profile as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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