Mac Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The New England Patriots have incorporated some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which usually keeps the defense guessing and improves offensive efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New York Jets defense has produced the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.01 yards-per-carry.
The New York Jets linebackers profile as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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