Mac Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (10.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.2% in games he has played).
The New England Patriots O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The New England Patriots have incorporated some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to notch 2.4 carries in this game, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
Mac Jones has averaged just 6.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (21st percentile).
Mac Jones's running effectiveness (3.18 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (10th percentile among QBs).

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