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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (11.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.5% in games he has played).

The New England Patriots have utilized some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Mac Jones's ground effectiveness (3.80 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (6th percentile among quarterbacks).

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