Mac Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (13.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).
Mac Jones's running effectiveness has been refined this season, averaging 4.06 yards-per-carry vs just 3.16 rate last season.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.18 yards-per-carry.
The Arizona Cardinals linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to notch 3.5 carries in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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