The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 37.6% run rate.The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-least yards in the league (just 106 per game) against the Buffalo Bills defense this year.The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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