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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (11.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.5% in games he has played).

Mac Jones has rushed for a lot more yards per game (12.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).

Mac Jones's ground efficiency has improved this year, notching 4.50 yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.16 figure last year.

The New England Patriots have used some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in football), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 4.36 yards-per-carry.

The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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