My Account Log Out

reorder

Mac Jones

Mac Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 207.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 221.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 207.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 134.8 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The New England Patriots have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 64.8 plays per game.

Mac Jones has attempted 37.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 81st percentile when it comes to QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Mac Jones's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.5% to 67.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL against the Saints defense this year (65.1% Adjusted Completion%).

The Saints pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.70 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in football.

More Mac Jones Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™