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Mac Jones
NFL · Player Props
Mac Jones
QB · New England Patriots
Passing Yards
New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2023 Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:56 PM EST
NFL Props Mac Jones Passing Yards

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 209.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 212.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 209.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Mac Jones's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 64.5% to 72.0%.
  • The New York Jets defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.68 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 5th-most in football.
Favors Under
  • The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has exhibited good efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 6.84 yards-per-target: the 2nd-least in football.
  • The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
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