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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs New England Patriots

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 202.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.

The Giants pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, giving up 8.23 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-most in football.

This year, the anemic Giants defense has given up the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a massive 5.52 YAC.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 4.5 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The model projects Mac Jones to attempt 26.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

The Patriots O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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