Mac Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Passing Yards

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 232.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 244.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 232.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.
Opposing teams have thrown for the most yards in the league (291.0 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown poor efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 8.70 yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.21 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in football.
The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst CB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.