Mac Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 231.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.4 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
Mac Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with an impressive 69.3% Completion%, ranking in the 91st percentile.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 3rd-most yards in football (263.0 per game) vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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