Mac Jones Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Pass Attempts

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 37.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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