Mac Jones Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Pass Attempts

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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