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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Interceptions
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Mac Jones Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-128/-102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jaguars will be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Mac Jones has thrown 0.84 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the -10th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • New York's defense profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year as it relates to making interceptions, accumulating just 0.13 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Jaguars have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.4 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the New York Jets defense this year: 7th-fewest in football.

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