Mac Jones Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Interceptions

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.
In this game, Mac Jones is forecasted by the model to total the 7th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.2.
In throwing a staggering 0.95 interceptions per game this year, Mac Jones ranks among the weakest QBs in football (25th percentile).

Favors Under

When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Miami's collection of safeties has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

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