Mac Jones Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Interceptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 37.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
Mac Jones has thrown 0.82 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 18th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Las Vegas Raiders have intercepted 0.35 balls per game this year, grading out as the 4th-worst defense in the NFL by this standard

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
The New England Patriots O-line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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