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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Completions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Mac Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Mac Jones's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 64.5% to 72.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (68.4%).

The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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