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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Completions
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots

Mac Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.4 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.

Mac Jones has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL this year with an impressive 69.3% Completion%, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-highest clip in the league vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (73.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.

The New England Patriots offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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