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Luke Schoonmaker

Luke Schoonmaker Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Luke Schoonmaker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 134.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a colossal 60.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Luke Schoonmaker is anticipated by the predictive model to rank in the 76th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 6-point favorite this week.

Luke Schoonmaker ranks as one of the weakest tight ends in the pass game last year, averaging just 0.7 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 2nd percentile among tight ends.

With a subpar 56.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (13th percentile) last year, Luke Schoonmaker stands as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

The Saints pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.9%) to tight ends since the start of last season (68.9%).

The Saints safeties profile as the 10th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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