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Luke Schoonmaker

Luke Schoonmaker Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Luke Schoonmaker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys may rely on the pass game less in this week's game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are forecasted by the projections to call 67.7 total plays in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Cowboys this year (a massive 61.0 per game on average).

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Our trusted projections expect Luke Schoonmaker to be a much smaller piece of his team's pass attack this week (0.9% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.5% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

The Cowboys O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Luke Schoonmaker comes in as one of the least efficient receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a lowly 6.29 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 12th percentile.

This year, the imposing New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing tight ends: a measly 3.0 YAC.

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