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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Indianapolis Colts

Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis.

Luke Musgrave has run a route on 64.7% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Luke Musgrave ranks as one of the best pass-catching TEs last year, averaging a fantastic 3.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 4 points.

The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Green Bay Packers since the start of last season (a mere 56.7 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.8 per game) since the start of last season.

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