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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Indianapolis Colts

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis.

Luke Musgrave has run a route on 64.7% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Luke Musgrave has totaled a whopping 33.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among tight ends.

Luke Musgrave rates as one of the top pass-game TEs last year, averaging a stellar 31.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the feeble Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded a colossal 50.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 4 points.

The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Green Bay Packers since the start of last season (a mere 56.7 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.8 per game) since the start of last season.

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