Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Luke Musgrave

NFL · Player Props

Luke Musgrave

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Luke Musgrave to notch 5.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.
The Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 36.0) to TEs since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. TEs since the start of last season, surrendering 6.94 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the league.
The Chicago Bears linebackers rank as the 10th-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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