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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Logan Thomas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-169/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -169.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Commanders offensive approach to lean 12.6% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Commanders as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this contest, Logan Thomas is predicted by the projections to finish in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.9 targets.

Logan Thomas's 36.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 28.3.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

More Logan Thomas Player Props

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