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Logan Thomas
NFL · Player Props
Logan Thomas
TE · Washington Commanders
Receptions
New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022 Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC
NFL Props Logan Thomas Receptions

Logan Thomas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • The Washington Commanders will be forced to start backup quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Logan Thomas to accrue 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (79.4%) vs. TEs this year (79.4%).
  • The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • Logan Thomas has run fewer routes this year (64.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (82.5%).
  • The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
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